|
|
Prediction for CME (2026-08-08T08:15:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2026-08-08T08:15ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/48007/-1 CME Note: Filament eruption CME observed to the SW in GOES CCOR-1 and as a SE halo in STEREO A COR2. Not observed in real-time in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 due to DSN gap starting 2026-08-08T05:00Z. The source is a long-spanning filament eruption from the SW disk, with eastward deflection observed best from STEREO A's perspective. The eruption starts around 2026-08-08T05:37Z, observed in SDO AIA 171/193/211/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195/304 as filament ejecta, double ribbon flare and brightening, field line movement, minimal dimming, and a post-eruptive arcade. The eruption spans approximately ~S20W40 to ~S15W90 (centered S17W65). CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-08-12T00:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 53.93 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-08-09T18:04Z |
|
|
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers. Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy |
|